Thursday’s contest that pits the Tennessee State Tigers (14-15, 10-8 OVC) versus the Morehead State Eagles (14-15, 9-9 OVC) at Gentry Center has a projected final score of 77-68 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Tennessee State, who is the favorite in this matchup by our model. Tipoff is at 8:30 PM ET on February 27.

Based on our computer prediction, Tennessee State projects to cover the 7.5-point spread in its matchup against Morehead State. The over/under is listed at 145.5, and the two sides are projected to go under that total.

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Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, February 27, 2025
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Nashville, Tennessee
• Venue: Gentry Center
• Line: Tennessee State -7.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee State -375, Morehead State +285

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Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee State 77, Morehead State 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee State vs. Morehead State

• Pick ATS: Tennessee State (-7.5)
• Pick OU: Under (145.5)

Tennessee State has put together a 14-12-0 record against the spread this season, while Morehead State is 11-15-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Tigers are 19-7-0 and the Eagles are 10-16-0. The teams average 146.1 points per game, 0.6 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 contests, Tennessee State has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. Morehead State has gone 1-9 against the spread and 2-8 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Tennessee State Performance Insights

• The Tigers are outscoring opponents by 4.5 points per game with a +133 scoring differential overall. They put up 79.3 points per game (56th in college basketball) and give up 74.8 per outing (263rd in college basketball).
• Tennessee State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 7.0 boards. It is grabbing 38.2 rebounds per game (fourth in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.2 per contest.
• Tennessee State knocks down 6.8 three-pointers per game (277th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.2. It shoots 32.2% from deep while its opponents hit 32.6% from long range.
• The Tigers average 94.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (224th in college basketball), and give up 88.7 points per 100 possessions (74th in college basketball).
• Tennessee State has come up short in the turnover battle by 2.5 turnovers per game, committing 14.9 (359th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.4 (94th in college basketball).

Morehead State Performance Insights

• The Eagles have been outscored by 2.7 points per game (posting 66.8 points per game, 340th in college basketball, while conceding 69.5 per outing, 102nd in college basketball) and have a -78 scoring differential.
• Morehead State grabs 33.5 rebounds per game (88th in college basketball) while allowing 29.0 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.5 boards per game.
• Morehead State makes 5.9 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.8 on average.
• Morehead State has come up short in the turnover battle by 1.3 per game, committing 10.8 (134th in college basketball) while forcing 9.5 (336th in college basketball).

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