Tennessee vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 11
Published 7:58 pm Monday, February 10, 2025
Tuesday’s game that pits the No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (20-4, 7-4 SEC) against the No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats (16-7, 5-5 SEC) at Rupp Arena has a good chance to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 75-74 in favor of Tennessee. Game time is at 7:00 PM ET on February 11.
Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky is projected to cover the point spread (2.5) against Tennessee. The two sides are projected to fall short of the 149.5 over/under.
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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds
- Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Lexington, Kentucky
- Venue: Rupp Arena
- Line: Tennessee -2.5
- Point total: 149.5
- Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -138, Kentucky +115
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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Tennessee 75, Kentucky 74
Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Kentucky
- Pick ATS: Kentucky (+2.5)
- Pick OU: Under (149.5)
Tennessee is 15-9-0 against the spread, while Kentucky’s ATS record this season is 11-12-0. The Volunteers have gone over the point total in nine games, while Wildcats games have gone over 13 times. The teams combine to score 161.5 points per game, 12.0 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee is 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 contests, while Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.
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Tennessee Performance Insights
- The Volunteers are outscoring opponents by 15.5 points per game with a +372 scoring differential overall. They put up 74.8 points per game (165th in college basketball) and give up 59.3 per contest (third in college basketball).
- Tennessee wins the rebound battle by 8.1 boards on average. It records 35.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 47th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 27.0 per outing.
- Tennessee hits 8.6 three-pointers per game (100th in college basketball), 1.7 more than its opponents (6.9). It is shooting 34.3% from deep (148th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 26.6%.
- The Volunteers score 99.7 points per 100 possessions (91st in college basketball), while allowing 79.0 points per 100 possessions (second in college basketball).
- Tennessee wins the turnover battle by 1.5 per game, committing 10.2 (72nd in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.7.
Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats outscore opponents by 10.1 points per game (posting 86.7 points per game, third in college basketball, and conceding 76.6 per contest, 307th in college basketball) and have a +234 scoring differential.
- Kentucky grabs 35.9 rebounds per game (27th in college basketball) while allowing 31.9 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.0 boards per game.
- Kentucky connects on 10.1 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball), 1.5 more than its opponents.
- Kentucky and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Wildcats commit 9.8 per game (42nd in college basketball) and force 9.2 (346th in college basketball).
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