Kentucky vs. Arkansas Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 1

Published 11:58 am Friday, January 31, 2025

Saturday’s game between the No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats (15-5, 4-3 SEC) and Arkansas Razorbacks (12-8, 1-6 SEC) squaring off at Rupp Arena has a projected final score of 82-72 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Kentucky, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will tip off at 9:00 PM ET on February 1.

According to our computer prediction, Arkansas is a good bet to cover the spread, which is currently listed at 10.5. The two sides are projected to go under the 158.5 over/under.

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Kentucky vs. Arkansas Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, February 1, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Lexington, Kentucky
  • Venue: Rupp Arena
  • Line: Kentucky -10.5
  • Point total: 158.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -599, Arkansas +430

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Kentucky vs. Arkansas Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Kentucky 82, Arkansas 72

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Arkansas

  • Pick ATS: Arkansas (+10.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (158.5)

Kentucky has a 10-10-0 record against the spread this season compared to Arkansas, who is 6-14-0 ATS. The Wildcats have gone over the point total in 11 games, while Razorbacks games have gone over seven times. The teams average 163.8 points per game, 5.3 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 games, Kentucky is 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall while Arkansas has gone 2-8 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats have a +235 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.7 points per game. They’re putting up 87.6 points per game to rank third in college basketball and are giving up 75.9 per outing to rank 292nd in college basketball.
  • Kentucky comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of four boards. It is pulling down 36.5 rebounds per game (24th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.5 per outing.
  • Kentucky makes 10.2 three-pointers per game (19th in college basketball), 1.8 more than its opponents (8.4).
  • The Wildcats record 106.6 points per 100 possessions (11th in college basketball), while giving up 92.3 points per 100 possessions (184th in college basketball).
  • Kentucky forces 9.9 turnovers per game (320th in college basketball) while committing 9.9 (42nd in college basketball action).

Arkansas Performance Insights

  • The Razorbacks put up 76.2 points per game (134th in college basketball) while allowing 68.1 per contest (81st in college basketball). They have a +161 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 8.1 points per game.
  • The 32.7 rebounds per game Arkansas accumulates rank 161st in the country, 1.6 more than the 31.1 its opponents pull down.
  • Arkansas connects on 7.3 three-pointers per game (224th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.6 on average.
  • Arkansas forces 12.3 turnovers per game (132nd in college basketball) while committing 11.4 (183rd in college basketball).

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