Bengals vs. Patriots Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1
Published 3:38 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024
The Cincinnati Bengals will face the New England Patriots at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Our computer model predicts the Bengals will earn a victory — see below for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score.
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Despite having a bottom-five defense that ranked second-worst in the NFL (374.6 yards allowed per game) last season, the Bengals had more success on the other side of the ball, ranking 22nd in the NFL by totaling 318.9 yards per game. While the Patriots’ defense ranked 15th with 21.5 points allowed per game last season, they were less successful on offense, ranking second-worst (13.9 points per game).
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Bengals vs. Patriots Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Bengals (-7.5) | Under (41) | Bengals 27, Patriots 13 |
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Bengals Betting Info
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Bengals’ implied win probability is 80.0%.
- Cincinnati put together a 7-8-2 record against the spread last season.
- Last season, 10 Cincinnati games hit the over.
- The over/under in this matchup is 41 points, 2.5 fewer than the average total in last season’s Bengals contests.
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Patriots Betting Info
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 24.4% chance of a victory for the Patriots.
- New England compiled a 5-12-0 ATS record last year.
- The Patriots were an underdog by 7.5 points or more four times last season, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
- In New England games last year, combined scoring went over the point total seven times.
- The over/under for this game is 1.6 points higher than the average scoring total for Patriots games last season (39.4).
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Bengals vs. Patriots 2023 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | 21.5 | 22.6 | 23.7 | 19.1 | 19.1 | 26.5 |
| Patriots | 13.9 | 21.5 | 12.1 | 20.9 | 15.9 | 22.3 |
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